Today's Posts

Yep, power off, no phone, no fuel, no food or drink... no nothing electronic so no effin nothing.👎

Yep, there are still reported sightings of them, I've never seen one.

"It’s a pleasure – and a duty – to be with you at this turning point for Canada and for the world. Today, I’ll talk about the rupture in the world order, the end of a nice story, and the beginning of a brutal reality where geopolitics among the great powers is not subject to any constraints. But I also submit to you that other countries, particularly middle powers like Canada, are not powerless. They have the capacity to build a new order that embodies our values, like respect for human rights, sustainable development, solidarity, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of states. The power of the less powerful begins with honesty. Every day we are reminded that we live in an era of great power rivalry. That the rules-based order is fading. That the strong do what they can, and the weak suffer what they must. This aphorism of Thucydides is presented as inevitable – the natural logic of international relations reasserting itself. And faced with this logic, there is a strong tendency for countries to go along to get along. To accommodate. To avoid trouble. To hope that compliance will buy safety. It won’t. So, what are our options? In 1978, the Czech dissident Václav Havel wrote an essay called The Power of the Powerless. In it, he asked a simple question: how did the communist system sustain itself? His answer began with a greengrocer. Every morning, this shopkeeper places a sign in his window: “Workers of the world, unite!” He does not believe it. No one believes it. But he places the sign anyway – to avoid trouble, to signal compliance, to get along. And because every shopkeeper on every street does the same, the system persists. Not through violence alone, but through the participation of ordinary people in rituals they privately know to be false. Havel called this “living within a lie.” The system’s power comes not from its truth but from everyone’s willingness to perform as if it were true. And its fragility comes from the same source: when even one person stops performing — when the greengrocer removes his sign — the illusion begins to crack. It is time for companies and countries to take their signs down. For decades, countries like Canada prospered under what we called the rules-based international order. We joined its institutions, praised its principles, and benefited from its predictability. We could pursue values-based foreign policies under its protection. We knew the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And that international law applied with varying rigour depending on the identity of the accused or the victim. This fiction was useful, and American hegemony, in particular, helped provide public goods: open sea lanes, a stable financial system, collective security, and support for frameworks for resolving disputes. So, we placed the sign in the window. We participated in the rituals. And largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality. This bargain no longer works. Let me be direct: we are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition. Over the past two decades, a series of crises in finance, health, energy, and geopolitics laid bare the risks of extreme global integration. More recently, great powers began using economic integration as weapons. Tariffs as leverage. Financial infrastructure as coercion. Supply chains as vulnerabilities to be exploited. You cannot “live within the lie” of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes the source of your subordination. The multilateral institutions on which middle powers relied— the WTO, the UN, the COP – the architecture of collective problem solving – are greatly diminished. As a result, many countries are drawing the same conclusions. They must develop greater strategic autonomy: in energy, food, critical minerals, in finance, and supply chains. This impulse is understandable. A country that cannot feed itself, fuel itself, or defend itself has few options. When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself. But let us be clear-eyed about where this leads. A world of fortresses will be poorer, more fragile, and less sustainable. And there is another truth: if great powers abandon even the pretence of rules and values for the unhindered pursuit of their power and interests, the gains from “transactionalism” become harder to replicate. Hegemons cannot continually monetize their relationships. Allies will diversify to hedge against uncertainty. Buy insurance. Increase options. This rebuilds sovereignty – sovereignty that was once grounded in rules, but will be increasingly anchored in the ability to withstand pressure. As I said, such classic risk management comes at a price, but that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared. Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortress. Shared standards reduce fragmentation. Complementarities are positive sum. The question for middle powers, like Canada, is not whether to adapt to this new reality. We must. The question is whether we adapt by simply building higher walls – or whether we can do something more ambitious. Canada was amongst the first to hear the wake-up call, leading us to fundamentally shift our strategic posture. Canadians know that our old, comfortable assumption that our geography and alliance memberships automatically conferred prosperity and security is no longer valid. Our new approach rests on what Alexander Stubb has termed “values-based realism” – or, to put it another way, we aim to be principled and pragmatic. Principled in our commitment to fundamental values: sovereignty and territorial integrity, the prohibition of the use of force except when consistent with the UN Charter, respect for human rights. Pragmatic in recognising that progress is often incremental, that interests diverge, that not every partner shares our values. We are engaging broadly, strategically, with open eyes. We actively take on the world as it is, not wait for a world we wish to be. Canada is calibrating our relationships so their depth reflects our values. We are prioritising broad engagement to maximise our influence, given the fluidity of the world order, the risks that this poses, and the stakes for what comes next. We are no longer relying on just the strength of our values, but also on the value of our strength. We are building that strength at home. Since my government took office, we have cut taxes on incomes, capital gains and business investment, we have removed all federal barriers to interprovincial trade, and we are fast-tracking a trillion dollars of investment in energy, AI, critical minerals, new trade corridors, and beyond. We are doubling our defence spending by 2030 and are doing so in ways that builds our domestic industries. We are rapidly diversifying abroad. We have agreed a comprehensive strategic partnership with the European Union, including joining SAFE, Europe’s defence procurement arrangements. We have signed twelve other trade and security deals on four continents in the last six months. In the past few days, we have concluded new strategic partnerships with China and Qatar. We are negotiating free trade pacts with India, ASEAN, Thailand, Philippines, Mercosur. To help solve global problems, we are pursuing variable geometry— different coalitions for different issues, based on values and interests. On Ukraine, we are a core member of the Coalition of the Willing and one of the largest per-capita contributors to its defence and security. On Arctic sovereignty, we stand firmly with Greenland and Denmark and fully support their unique right to determine Greenland’s future. Our commitment to Article 5 is unwavering. We are working with our NATO allies (including the Nordic Baltic 😎 to further secure the alliance’s northern and western flanks, including through Canada’s unprecedented investments in over-the-horizon radar, submarines, aircraft, and boots on the ground. Canada strongly opposes tariffs over Greenland and calls for focused talks to achieve shared objectives of security and prosperity for the Arctic. On plurilateral trade, we are championing efforts to build a bridge between the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the European Union, creating a new trading block of 1.5 billion people. On critical minerals, we are forming buyer’s clubs anchored in the G7 so that the world can diversify away from concentrated supply. On AI, we are cooperating with like-minded democracies to ensure we will not ultimately be forced to choose between hegemons and hyperscalers. This is not naive multilateralism. Nor is it relying on diminished institutions. It is building the coalitions that work, issue by issue, with partners who share enough common ground to act together. In some cases, this will be the vast majority of nations. And it is creating a dense web of connections across trade, investment, culture on which we can draw for future challenges and opportunities. Middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu. Great powers can afford to go it alone. They have the market size, the military capacity, the leverage to dictate terms. Middle powers do not. But when we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate from weakness. We accept what is offered. We compete with each other to be the most accommodating. This is not sovereignty. It is the performance of sovereignty while accepting subordination. In a world of great power rivalry, the countries in between have a choice: to compete with each other for favour or to combine to create a third path with impact. We should not allow the rise of hard power to blind us to the fact that the power of legitimacy, integrity, and rules will remain strong — if we choose to wield it together. Which brings me back to Havel. What would it mean for middle powers to “live in truth”? It means naming reality. Stop invoking the “rules-based international order” as though it still functions as advertised. Call the system what it is: a period of intensifying great power rivalry, where the most powerful pursue their interests using economic integration as a weapon of coercion. It means acting consistently. Apply the same standards to allies and rivals. When middle powers criticise economic intimidation from one direction but stay silent when it comes from another, we are keeping the sign in the window. It means building what we claim to believe in. Rather than waiting for the old order to be restored, create institutions and agreements that function as described. And it means reducing the leverage that enables coercion. Building a strong domestic economy should always be every government’s priority. Diversification internationally is not just economic prudence; it is the material foundation for honest foreign policy. Countries earn the right to principled stands by reducing their vulnerability to retaliation. Canada has what the world wants. We are an energy superpower. We hold vast reserves of critical minerals. We have the most educated population in the world. Our pension funds are amongst the world’s largest and most sophisticated investors. We have capital, talent, and a government with the immense fiscal capacity to act decisively. And we have the values to which many others aspire. Canada is a pluralistic society that works. Our public square is loud, diverse, and free. Canadians remain committed to sustainability. We are a stable, reliable partner—in a world that is anything but—a partner that builds and values relationships for the long term. Canada has something else: a recognition of what is happening and a determination to act accordingly. We understand that this rupture calls for more than adaptation. It calls for honesty about the world as it is. We are taking the sign out of the window. The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy. But from the fracture, we can build something better, stronger, and more just. This is the task of the middle powers, who have the most to lose from a world of fortresses and the most to gain from a world of genuine cooperation." The powerful have their power. But we have something too – the capacity to stop pretending, to name reality, to build our strength at home, and to act together. That is Canada’s path. We choose it openly and confidently. And it is a path wide open to any country willing to take it with us."

Second left at the bottom is an old fire axe isn’t it?

Absolutely pissing it down there days on the trot here, hedge laying, the sip is doing the business!👌🏻

Wordle 1,678 3/6 ⬜⬜⬜🟨⬜ ⬜⬜⬜⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Should have been a twoer. Honest. Momentary lapse of memory on L2.

Well that is the six million dollar question, and at the end of the day you will need to work out what prices work for you. The only tip I can really give is to remember that what you mill will be very different from what builders merchants offer. Your timber will i guess be unseasoned. If it is the right species (larch, douglas fir) it will have natural durability. And you will be able to offer a bespoke service. Eg if the customer wants beams at 135mm x 60 you can help, whereas the builders merchants will not. Also I suggest always pricing up for the full length. The customer may ask for many different lengths, but you should charge for the length your logs are. And I haven’t mentioned that of course pricing should be by volume, except possibly for very thin or narrow pieces.

Just purchased a 550xp cylinder which was obviously overheating due to its orangy/brown colour. Anyone used any type of cleaner successfully so it's back to silver alloy colour? Thanks

I was reading awhile ago that Samsung have developed an new EV battery that uses a lot of silver. It was saying the price of silver is going to rocket. Looks like I was late to the party

Some days I would go 100% asset grabbing and the next 100% narcissism ego boost. Probably in reflection though more ego than assets - coupled with things like renaming the Kennedy Centre he wants to leave his name behind him more than enriching the US. I didn't see all his speech last night, but the highlights were amazing... in his Daily dose of Trump WTFkery. A lot made of mistaking Iceland for Greenland... though I suspect this was a slip of the tongue and he meant Greenland, his mind might also be thinking Iceland too. He sent out a map, colouring in with the US flag Greenland, Canada, the US and Venezuela, which leaves a nice chunk middle south, Mexico, Guatemala.. and of course Cuba sandwiched between the 2.. and he has recently kind of threatened Cuba too. A man of peace. But... empire building too I think. There was his billion dollar peace thing too, didn't see the Europeans fawning over him to join that, and the import taxes (tariffs) for not agreeing to the Greenland sale is quietly being dropped too after he met them... suspect they politely told him where to go with his money making schemes. Billion dollar peace thing... which as the lead he will be creaming off it big time with contracts to his companies, his name all over the world, back to his ego. Yes, ultimate reality TV. I'll see if I can get a spreadsheet or even powerpoint dollars per radian / degree or turbine blade? As for Aliens... yes, probably not invading, we are quite capable of destroying ourselves quite easily.

Cotoneaster Cornubia , I'd say, 99% certain !

Can anyone remind me if the DVSA will send the necessary paperwork for an age-related licence renewal automatically as my birthday approaches or do I need proactively to obtain the forms? I'm coming up to number 65 and can't remember what happened five years ago. Many thanks,

Hi everyone The chain brake light on my 540i came on so the saw won't run I saw a video on YouTube saying it's most probably the micro switch but it's a complete strip down to get to it. Anyone got any ideas please. Thanks.

Under

THE big man?

If I'm feeling depressed, I cheer myself up by looking at garage forecourt kindling pricing. Makes me feel like a millionaire.

Arboriculture Lead We're seeking an experienced Arboriculturalist to join our team, acting as lead for the Practice's arboricultural services and with enthusiasm to grow our team. You'll be a dynamic individual able to take the healm on all things trees, as well as supporting the wider practice in landscape design and implementation and monitoring of tree planting schemes. Experience in CAD, tree surveying packages and relevant professional membership is essential, along with a track record of BS5837 surveying and veteran tree assessment. We offer competitive salary packages, generous annual leave and flexible/hybrid working, with office space based in Leeds or York for this role. Established in 2013, G+L has grown sustainable as a responsible employer and a leading practice in assessment and design for development projects across the country. The practice was founded on the principle of growing a traditional practice, introducing like-minded people and working as a team and being flexible to our staffs need. We continue to grow the business responsibly while maintaining our core values. If this role is of interest, please get in touch using our website contact details, or respond to this post/author. Practice WWW.GOLBYANDLUCK.CO.UK

Ah ok. I'm in the process of building another log store, so yes, maybe I should focus on unseasoned logs. I can't seem to edit the original post, so I may copy, amend it and post it in a different forum as I'm not sure this was the right one anyway. Thanks for the suggestion.

Morning all, Hedge reduction in the rain today, then hopefully sorting kit ready for Loler. I once drove a Land Rover 110 with the family, towing a caravan the the Loire valley. Vinyl seats in the heat. The the caravan fridge packed up. Have fun everyone.

Those orange boxes you refer to are scrollable, there’s a button to take you to the listing page then contact button is in the listing label. Yes you need to upgrade your account contact details, a mere £30 for the year

"Until you want to pull slack into your system for any reason and the device just eats it." Yeah but you just put a bit of friction on the rope, use a foot or a knee against the tree. The bigger issue I found was when above the anchor point, it is a bit of a ball ache to pull the rope through it. IMO the self tending which allows way easier free climbing outweighs the negatives. Horses for courses and I suppose thats why there are so many climbing devises on the market ATM. It would be interesting to run a poll to find out what the majority of people are using. I recon prussik loop would still be up there!

Pseudoinonotus would likely be the most likely. It all year round, it doesn't breakdown and go brown like wot is in the picture.

Hey guys, Qualified and experienced climber looking for work in south wales, preferably employed, happy to travel currently based in Merthyr. Cheers, Nathan