peckerwoo

Seem to recall that one TL in finding some good webcams. try the Wunderground site and scroll in and out to anywhere then tick the model data , choose the model & types then run the loops, the 850mb uppers are the better and simpler measure.

etc.Hard for us here to conceive living in perpetual darkness for weeks on end with temps so cold that young, old and the ill have to remain indoors else their lungs freeze instantaneously? I always observe the temps drop in Siberia toward the end of August and think of what a hell it must have been for the invaders past from Napoleon to the German army groups that vanquished in the unimaginable cold. Many a story has been told from German Condor transport planes pitching too high with all the Stalingrad "kessel" evacuees untethered sliding to the rear of the plane bringing it crashing down vertically within a minute of takeoff to what is considered the less fortunate that were thrown out of their makeshift hospital windows partially naked in -50°C temps? But lets not detract so back to identifying any possible downgrades to the upcoming cold period as today`s model charts are quite something! The main stayer for me disregarding the impending change was that although the Jetstream was slackening, a lot of energy remained in the northern arm, leaving the door open for a return to Zonal westerly feed and a sinking Russian high into the Med but from around next weekend the southern arm influences and it barrels eastwards well to our South through the Med linking in with the Scan/W Russian High and allowing for the possibility of the "Omega Block" where any mild air is completely shut off by 2 huge High pressure twins, as per the Omega "Ω" symbol, one over W Russia and the other situated near or over Greenland thus the Cold period extends well beyond any spell that we are used to such as a couple of days or so to over a week? I would advise on measuring air pressure for Reykjavik later next week for a marker on the longevity of the cold here in the UK and definitely our last best shot at Winter for this season.

Due to (un)popular demand here is a rolling thread for the weather for the interests of all from those of us working outside & the erstwhile constant gardener to the astro physicist`s and oceanographist`s who happen by here? Must start of by saying the weathers had its knickers in a bit of a twist for around 3 weeks now where many symptoms of bringing a bitter cold blast have come to the fore but never quite opened the door and we have been on the fringes with a current pattern of normal or slightly below temps with Atlantic weather that was always going to show its hand prior to early December just that its rarely quietened down or moved that far West of us to leave way for any cold air mass be it polar or continental air? Current talk is of a Continental pattern arriving over us immenently thanks to a strong High pressure ridge over eastern Siberia/NW Russia giving cold daytime temps around 1-3°C for eastern UK regions but slightly less cooler over N Ire and western Sco. I was not to keen on this pattern earlier today but now the majority of the models are projecting a bitter blast indeed as low systems in the Med will prevent the Scan/Russian high from dropping and along with a slowing Jet and warm air advection moving more and more west away from the UK then I`m as confident now, as the many media reports detail. It was always a matter of where and when the recent stratospheric warming would show its hand in cooling the troposphere and the displacing/disrupting the polar vortex but eastern Siberia has begun a less cooler period as has eastern US so its valid to see how it could be “our turn”? Unsuitable to predict snowfall this far out as we have to endure a diminishing warm front progressing slowly eastwards giving wet snow over western fringes courtesy of a system running north up through Iceland Mon & Tue but this will revert back westwards late tues as most of the UK will come under the Continental air and troughs during weds/thurs which should all be of snow? I wouldn`t rule out an “Ice day” neither in certain areas as the -10°C Isotherm is heading westwards into E Anglia first thing Thursday. Interesting times,,,, at long last for log sales at least Comments welcomed:

Any validity on the Ultra-lite Gecko`s "240lb max weight limit" I`m well over that with kit etc.? US supplier sherrilltree but then again are the ultra`s overkill?

trying to find the most likely evidence for the cold Firewood and back in November their was absolutely nothing to suggest anything like cold until after the new year but I`m not saying we are "on the cusp" like mid-November 2010, merely that somewhere in the Northern Hemisphere is going to get mighty Frigid but that could be anywhere from the Canada & the States to Western Asia? all dependant where and if the polar vortex splits and goes? Fingers crossed though as my logs are ready to go and the clocks ticking in the depths of the Winter phase,,,,

Long overdue calmer period after today`s winds die down with a slack flow as a ridge builds NE-wards over the UK allowing cold frosty night with avg. daytime temps. Their has been LOTS of talk on various met sites/forums regarding Stratospheric Warming (yes "Warming" ) that in turn affects the troposphere under which we live by means of distrupting another term known as the Polar Vortex which when situated in the usual area, such as Greenland, ensures a mobile Zonal pattern of Atlantic Low pressure systems and a flat Jet stream with winds rain and average to mild temps that we have endured for the last few weeks. All set for change however to cut a long story short, with a potentially Blocked pattern developing following the pending quieter period with the best shot at Winter so far this season but the usual caveat applies as theirs plenty of rogue elements that can "throw a spanner in the works" but the Major factor for allowing cold weather is in transit now. More on this later folks

"give a dog a bad name,,,," ? but I gotta agree on general public opinion on seasoned willow is completely unfound and unjust? I`ve been firing it outside, whilst tugging on fine cuban`s n single malt in the chimnea and find it shoves out great eat way beyond any softwood and certain hard`s? under-rated considering every aesthetic involved! awaiting personal stove/woodburner performance with eagerness,,,, cheers all `arbers

As mentioned above: early friday's system has more potential for severity due to embedded tropical air which will converge with colder air and begin the rapid cyclogenesis we talk of where vorticity really tightens as the central air pressures drops sub 960, projections down to 930mb but GFS has form for over estimating? A lively week courtesy of the jet and a roaring atlantic and without mentioning the xmas period with eagerness then i most certainly would not wager for a "white one" other than given very generous odds over 10/1 for aberdeen, glasgow or edinburgh as the pattern is showing signs of a more SW/NE Jet tilt than currently experienced with less polar maritime air influence therefore milder but still zonal outlook?

Centre currently near a sea buoy 100miles west of the outer hebrides with a 968mb reading so 90mph gusts certainly possible for western scottish areas spreading across central and eastern parts as the low traverses east between shetland/orkneys and the mainland. Post those aneometer readings up Gareth?

difficult and inaccurate to determine this far out TM but your in a favored spot for severe gales 60mph+ gusts therefore structural damage possible?

Thanks for the pics Amazing what a difference a degree or so of latitude can do in regards to influencing cold air with the sea track and modifying it to allow for rain or snow? Huncker down & Watchout Thursday

,,,N Ire, Sco, NWales & NEngland. Winds picking up now courtesy of a fractured low tracking NEwards off the Scottish coast but a system currently exiting Newfoundland shows highly probable signs of "bombing" along the converging polar maritime and Atlantic gulf stream air masses and projected for the centre to clip the outer hebrides midday thursday with a centre around 970mb which could well pack sum 70-80mph gusts possible 90mph? before pulling away and filling over southern Scandinavia. The affected regions are facing a real and subsequent threat for windblown trees coming up within 48hrs but I`ll try updating this when more data becomes available regarding intensity and track etc.

It appears one tends to get carried away amongst the jargon and such? so in a simplified update then next weeks wintry spell will be just that with polar maritime influence digging South Eastwards through the whole UK so it will be interesting the more North & Westwards you find yourself given the wintry squalls and high gusts on offer with air frosts! For the few who prefer the accumin approach? - then the Azores high is displacing slightly westwards to align with a ridge coming off newfoundland late this weekend/early next week to open the way for entrenched baffin island area PM air to visit us, albeit modified by the far North Atlantic SST`s with Shortwaves a possibility to scupper any true polar lows getting close? Improving conditions for cooler weather is the general epliogue tonight comrades

Pressed for time lately chums (6 or more 3-4hour a peice NFL games a week?) but as per the Milder weather log sales slow thread over in the firewood forum a couple of weeks ago then little has changed in regards to the current weather pattern over the UK. Azores High waxing and waning with low Arctic and North Atlantic heights (plus + NAO and AO values) basically leaves us with a west to east Zonal flow with brief Polar maritime incursions before Cyclogenesis shunts further Lows along the Denmark straight keeping the UK under the Atlantic influence aided by the barreling Jet which show now signs of bifurcating under 14 days only increasing and flattening. So a lot mostly brought about by the Polar vortex moving very little although current NE pacific ridging could well begin the process of dislodging the vortex as shown by the MJO phase period ending its 60 day cycle thus still on course for the beginning of January looking at the most favorable conditions for Winter in laymens terms? Average until then but brief wintry conditions in the North and above 800ft etc. but again, a complete reversal of just about every condition in comparison to the same time last year but windblown work could be the flavor this time as opposed to log sales like last year

S.O.A.D were quality But went to see [ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4_OH0VtalqU&feature=share]Yuck[/ame] last night and I havnt heard the likes since Dinsosaur Jnr & Sonic youth,,,Magnificent new band

,,,with all due respect to John M, the "long range weather forecaster" over on Exacta I could not disagree further on this snippet: but it certainly improves the outlook for frequent cold and above normal snow across many parts of the UK, as we head into the final third of November and much of December. Now I can understand the Daily Express in how to target sales with frequent sensationalist terms but John M just does not sound either experienced or qualified enough in his long range statement to convince me? although he did confess to missing the current mild period? Their has been an ever so slight pattern change show up in a couple of drivers that may bring forward the January cold projections by a week or 2 (N American amplification and overall La Nina slackening) but please believe me "fellas n fellers" in that no significant Snow & Ice for the remainder of November is possible in relation to the current weather pattern and trend for the UK area. Exacta? > the jury`s still out,,,,

Get used to it! Aside the odd frost here and their the remaining period for November compared to last year could not be any more different! Every pattern in the northern hemisphere is just about turned on its head from the same time last year. Relatively dry yet mild Nov, Wetter windier avg temps and a more Atlantic influence Dec, Winter comes Jan 12

Its all about supply and demand dear fellow What you charge/list at today will be very different to January! Iv`e got a few cord over 12 mnth seasoned come the new year and thats when i`m scaling up and actively advertising more. Way too many competitors at the mo along with the nomad Joe Public getting all excited with their Gardentec wonder saws so prices are too low. I`m gonna corner the market in the new year

I offer that Husqvarna HQ have failed to handle this well by all means and lost ground with Andreas and their faction. Deffo lookin at the Stihl 3 series now over the Husky 372 & 560 xp`s etc

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HfHGURWVnU]YUCK[/ame] Sheff Leadmill weds 16th Nov

Seems to have resolved then steve? without any "geektalk" what was the underlying fault? pro-active measures for BST in 6 months?

East lincs. Norfolk. Suffolk. Essex. Cambs. Herts. Grtr London. Surrey. Sussex & Kent suffered less than 30% of their average rainfall amount this Spring (1st Mar > 31st May) with a few places recovering to more than the overall avg. between the summer period (1st Jun > 31st Aug) only to fall back again to between 20% to 70% off the overall average for Autumn so far so the final figures for 2011 could well be some of the lowest figures ever recorded for certain areas? On occasion where I’ve been digging post-holes for way markers during the summer I can’t say I have ever noticed the soil so dry at deep depths where in the past it’s normally been much more wet/moist. The sweet chestnuts are minute and barely developed has some have pointed out, but has mentioned above only young trees and saplings have really suffered with more mature species somehow adapting to the much drier periods?

Off topic but I`ve been set on a 51L for about 2 years now and not beaten a £995 supply only quote, how much did you purchase yours for I kindly ask? Seen one in operation and really liked it but it was 2k all in fitted with 8metres of 316 grade, reg plate and chimney cowl which is way beyond my budget so going down the supply my own route and got a local SFA/Hetas engineer lined up to save a bundle with the extras and such but looking at the cheapest possible Handol (contura) 51L supplier ideally with interest free instalment payments but thats asking just a bit too much?

Is their a relation to the Vbulletin and Daylight saving time changes steve? Iv`e seen this before where the portal being seperately located to the base directory causes blank referral so a new redirect had to be added to relay the users if their logging into the main first "arbtalk.co.uk" page? I assume the site uses portal software? also anyone using chrome and seeing a continuous "install missing plugin" notice with ANY sites then have you got skype installed? If so delete the default Skype app symbol in the top right corner beside the chrome wrench Icon and the notice should disappear? (pending resolution with a conflict between Skype and Chrome) site shenanigans