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Vespasian

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Everything posted by Vespasian

  1. Come on fella's, Matelot was a making a general observation, he wasn't making a personal point. My own opinion on the matter is professional's know better than most whats good practice and patients or their guardians aught to take heed of that advice.. I can't see the sense of making the life of a small poorly child the subject of a legal and media circus because the parents think they know best..
  2. Well done Tommy is all I can say.. I'm almost tempted to buy it to have a read of the thing, only I doubt he hasn't said anything I haven't said or figured out some years back..
  3. Thank god its back up an running,
  4. Very funny, I also do some tree jobs as when the mood suits.. I'm working on the right trailer to go with my TP100 woodchipper, though I can switch up to my Eliet pro if I've a mind too.. The right trailer seems to be as elusive as the right chipper truck combination though..
  5. I'm working on my set up as we speak.. been working on it for a year or two now.. when I'm happy with my set up I'll post a pick or two.. its a one man band, an I'll be keeping it compact...
  6. Lets look at the maths here?.. Tom, if he's any good would price the job much the same as anyone else, a fifty foot conifer is still a fifty foot conifer no matter who looks at it.. it aught be priced much the same by Tom as anyone else.. The advantage Tom has is speed.. he can get the job done quicker.. But, what advantage does Tom have if speed isn't an issue?.. If Toms spends thousands on gear then Tom needs to get a rush on, he's under pressure to complete more jobs.. Now Pete, he's spent a few grand but not half as much as Tom, he can afford to take a more relaxed attitude to his days work.. no rush to crack on and get to the next job..
  7. Seems to me the students/younger generation voted Labour as a way to stifle Brexit.. What they may be upset about is the determination of Corbyn to get us out of the EU.. They voted for a spanner to be thrown in the works, not for someone to ease Brexit through Parliament..
  8. I use the same method with my chipper, though its only a small 18HP affair.. I think, you'll soon tire of using this method though as its a pain in the arse.. havin to worry about the chipper not falling off while loading, worryings its going to come loose and fall off in transport, then the time spent unloading at work site.. soon wears you down.. Best option is a bigger truck if possible..
  9. hahaha, exactly.. Brexit, a malevolent dark power eating away at the heart of government...
  10. On a day out driving through the welsh mountains, I noticed my mate scrunching up all the wrapping and paper cups from the dinner we'd just eaten, I suspected he was gonna do somethin daft and asked him what the hell he was upto.. Keeping England tidy he said, throw your **** in Wales.... he threw the lot out the window before I had a chance to stop him.. I didn't know we're to be livid or laugh.. Stefan, you branching out into somethin else besides stump-grinding or something?..
  11. The point isn't will we run out of oil, its what happens after we reach a peak in world oil production, or when it becomes apparent that no amount of investment will increase production to meet demand.. In a nutshell, the expert opinion seems to be that that peak will be reached by 2040.. by then will have reached peak demand/peak oil.. The skeptics think it will reach a peak long before that.. My concern isn't the amount of oil that might be left after we reach peak oil, but how peak oil, when it becomes evident affects the markets.. Those markets affects our jobs, it affects how people behave... That tree Mrs Miggins wanted choping down will have to wait when she has other pressing concerns..
  12. Not so much reading as listening to, In the Shadow of the Sword by Tom Holland.. A study of the origins of Islam..
  13. I'm as well to go off to bed, I think Trigger Andy's involvement in the oil industry amounts to no more than spraying some WD40 on a rusted nut... And, he can't spot a joke thrown in for the readers to boot...
  14. Well you can save yourself the trouble of asking me anything, if you imagine I'll be wasting time on a fantasist you must be out your head... Oh, you are out your head...Oh dear.. Stilhmadasever Well he started it..
  15. Ermm, if you can't play the ball play the man.. Don't worry about my level of education, its not relevant to the discussion at hand.. Now, I don't want to talk about your level of education so much as the state of your mental health, its sometimes possible to gauge a mans state of mind by the product that that mind produces.. in your case, writing that is both measured and concise one minute to childish trolling the next minute.. Pretty unstable mind if your asking me, sure your not on some sort of medication for these symptoms?.. sure you actually do work in the oil industry?.. Sure you ain't got some form of schizophrenia?.. I mean, with the best will in the world, going off the evidence presented I can't help but imagine theres some mental problem working away up there somewhere...
  16. Yea, didn't think you had clue.. all this nonsense about levels of education is just an effort to hide your own ignorance on the subject.. Still, if governments around the world don't know when Saudi production might go into decline why would you.. [ame] [/ame]
  17. Does anyone really care what someone else does for a living?.. I couldn't care less what other people do to get by.. well perhaps I do, after all I joined this forum because most on here had a interest in the arb industry.. And I noticed Trigger Andy hasn't furnished us with an answer to my question, in his expert opinion, how long can Saudi maintain current levels of production?..
  18. OK I get it, your an oil industry expert.. Might I beg your favour and ask you to indulge us with your analysis of Saudi oil production.. At ten million barrels a day, how long in your expert opinion can the Saudi's maintain this level of production?.. OK I'm now late to start my day, my nurse has wiped the dripping spittal from my mouth and is about to push me out the door, my carer will drive me to work were I will begin the menial task of cutting other peoples crass.. I don't know, its a terrible tragic life to be cutting grass when I could be working in the Oil Industry not knowing if I might have a job or not from one month to the next..
  19. Boy!!!. WTF. Listen f/whit, who the hell do you think you are, insulting people at every turn.. if you don't want to argue or debate a point, don't go traveling down the troll roads.. Its a fault in you you aught take a look at, a personalty flaw you aught look to arrest.. In fact I'd say its gonna do you some harm, stifle future promotion maybe?... Anyways, advice to you is take a good long look at yourself and see what you need do to repress your obvious personality flaws..
  20. I work for the most part cutting grass and pulling out weeds. So what, I can read like the best of em.. I can research like the rest of em as well.. Google is a world wide library at my fingertips.. Utube has experts in any field educating the public.. You might understand technical details in regards oil wells and have some knowledge on particular fields, but my interests lie in "the big picture". Its an holistic approach I use that takes in dozens of equations, politics, finance, social behavior, tribalism, anthropology, history, and many other equations that affect human behavior and civilization.. Its in this regard I see the dangers of a world with oil supplies stagnating and declining.. it ain't pretty. And in future, oil production will fall, its a mathematical fact, a certainty.. My concern is working out when that may happen, sooner than people think or later than people think. I'm in the camp of the, "sooner than people think".. As are the deep State governments of this world, hence their campaign to ween us off oil products.. though to ween us off these products is not the intention. Its a backhanded method to try to conserve supplies without dampening consumer confidence, lest that in itself becomes its own self for-filling prophesy.. ie, explain the dangers of an ever diminishing supply to the public.. If you imagine that belongs in a conspiracy theory book, then take a look at global climate change and its associated dangers to society, strange that there's a correlation to their tipping points and when I expect an oil crisis to effectively bring the global economy to its knees overnight..
  21. Oh don't I.. I've only spent hundreds of hrs researching the subject.. unlike you who thinks the North Sea is just busting with unfound production. So we're hiding billions of barrels of oil because a submarine might happens to hit a well?.. I suppose North Sea production is heading into peak as we speak?.... what next a cow flying over the moon..
  22. You can look at the stats for new oil discoveries by year, it don't make good reading.. Also, when I say fields, I mean by country.. all the oil in Saudi for instance.. oil analysts like to add unknown fields into their equations.. for instance, I'm sure amoungst the known reserves of Saudi oil fields are a bunch of unknown finds waiting to be found.. only I expect every inch of Saudi has been combed for oil with a fine tooth comb..
  23. A tea cup full? apparently not, a cursory search says its as much as one quarter percent of production.. Chatham House did a report that suggests that growing internal consumption is a threat to exports.. It might help matters if the Saudi's were a little more open with the facts regarding their oil industry.. and I find it odd that Saudi Aramco want to list on the stock market.. Is this to do with sharing their bounty, or spreading the risk now its become apparent to those in the know, that not all is well in the kingdom of Al Saud.. I've tried to do some basic maths on the subject, lets be generous and say all oil fields have a lifetime of one hundred years from discovery to depletion. Lets give a peak plateau of five years about fifty years after discovery.. its not scientific but can't be far off the mark for an educated guess?.. Oil was discovered in 1938, 50 years later brings us up to peak in 1988 to 93.. that leaves an ever diminishing supply in the next forty five years..from 1993 to 2038.. Given the oil shock during the Arab Israeli war, and a couple of recessions along the way, that tail can be expanded out somewhat.. but its still the tale end of production. I suspect that Saudi is only getting the oil it is today due to those downturns earlier in the last century,(expanding out the hubbard curve) and new technologies for extraction.. One thing Saudi can't do, is hide from the mathematics.. the Hubbard curve applies to Saudi as it does to every oil field in existence.. its just a matter of time before that becomes evident.. even to the Saudi's.. Hence their interest in listing on the stock exchange, let other investors pour in their billions to extract an ever diminishing supply..
  24. Trigger Andy The eternal optimist.. You might have a future in oil for a few years yet, but we will have to learn to get by with less.. The Hubbard Bell curve predicted a peak in US production, US oil production peaked on que.. As with US production, so too world production.. it will peak then decline, we will all have to make do with less.. On a side note, I read an opinion piece last night regarding Saudi Oil production, the fella suggests Saudi oil exports might end in as few as 14 years... based on the assumption of falling Saudi production and internal consumption due to an ever expanding population.. I dread to think how things are gonna work out if the Saudi's lose export capacity..
  25. Putting aside new techniques, the fact remains oil fields follow a classic Hubbert Curve.. Production rises, reaches a peak then declines... The North Sea is in decline.. What happens in the North sea happens to every other oil field in the world.. new tech or no new tech.. most of the worlds oil produces have now passed peak..

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