Making the news today....

[sime42]

 

There we go

 

 

[Mick Dempsey]

I think Assad is/was propped up by Russia and Iran.

[Stere]

And also the french the former colonial rulers until he started gassing people.

 

French put him and his Alawite minority sect in power -  "divide and rule".

 

 

[Mick Dempsey]

2 minutes ago, Stere said:

And also the french the former colonial rulers until he started gassing people.

 

French put him and his Alawite minority sect in power -  "divide and rule".

 

 

Pretty certain the French no longer have any irons in the fire there.

[Stere]

No they stopped being friends   after the chemical weapons gassing &  took his medal off him that they gave him in 2001

 

France to strip Syria's Bashar al-Assad of major award after suspected chemical attack - ABC News

ABCNEWS.GO.COM

---

France has started the process of stripping Syrian president Bashar al-Assad of his Legion of Honor, which is France’s...

 

Since they they were bombing ISIL with the US/NATO and might still have( im unsure?)  military on bases there.

 

Just a moment...

WWW.KURDISTAN24.NET

 

 

https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/nijkerk.pdf

 

Surprising that they have the largest western military presense if this is true?

 

 

Quote

France now has the largest Western military presence in Syria and is one of the leading
providers of humanitarian aid. With the end of the war in sight, France
also needs to evaluate how it can play a role in Syrian reconstruction.

 

Edited December 7, 2024 by Stere

[Steven P]

A couple of educated guesses:

Syria isn't going to go well, sorry, it is going to continue to be bad.

A lot of asylum seekers / refugees from all the other conflicts in the area and a handy route into Turkey are going to see a lot of displaced people fleeing for their lives, probably arn't going to go back south into Iraq / Lebanon... So the EU might to step in to calm things down (politically asylum seekers are 'bad' in Europe politics)... but the potential for Russia and The Ukraine to ramp up again in the spring might make them reluctant to commit resources (how convenient for Russia... a friend of Syria... divide and conquer).

US... that is a bit of a wildcard, Trump doesn't like wars, tricky to save face with (and he doesn't have any business interests there), not sure if Biden will step in this side of Christmas and send troops out there - that never sounds good.

So without big outside influence, the current regime is likely to fall quite quickly and will be sorted out within the country rather than the west meddling.

 

Just my guess, but it is a an unstable region of the world.

[Johnsond]

2 hours ago, Steven P said:

A couple of educated guesses:

Syria isn't going to go well, sorry, it is going to continue to be bad.

A lot of asylum seekers / refugees from all the other conflicts in the area and a handy route into Turkey are going to see a lot of displaced people fleeing for their lives, probably arn't going to go back south into Iraq / Lebanon... So the EU might to step in to calm things down (politically asylum seekers are 'bad' in Europe politics)... but the potential for Russia and The Ukraine to ramp up again in the spring might make them reluctant to commit resources (how convenient for Russia... a friend of Syria... divide and conquer).

US... that is a bit of a wildcard, Trump doesn't like wars, tricky to save face with (and he doesn't have any business interests there), not sure if Biden will step in this side of Christmas and send troops out there - that never sounds good.

So without big outside influence, the current regime is likely to fall quite quickly and will be sorted out within the country rather than the west meddling.

 

Just my guess, but it is a an unstable region of the world.

😳Thats some synopsis of the current strategic and tactical situation on the ground. You must have an extensive understanding of all things military. 

[Steven P]

5 minutes ago, Johnsond said:

😳Thats some synopsis of the current strategic and tactical situation on the ground. You must have an extensive understanding of all things military. 

 

So happy you brought that insight into the conversation. Well done.

[Johnsond]

31 minutes ago, Steven P said:

 

So happy you brought that insight into the conversation. Well done.

No problem SP, I thought you were after a bit of engagement after the post elsewhere this morning . Anyway it’s always good to hear from arbtalk’s resident Von Clausewitz, what is your military background by the way SP ?😞

[Steven P]

Looks like Assad time is up, Iran is beginning to close their embassies and withdraw military.. interesting times ahead in that region