Are you all ready for the bad winter thats coming??

[Tony Croft aka hamadryad]

lots of seed and berries every two to three years is NORMAL, it is to stop parasites and predators populations meeting their outputs, starve the parasites for a year or two drop their populations then BLAM seed your nuts off and inundate the world with more fruit and seed than it can possible consume.

 

Natures oldest and grandest trick

[Boaty]

Wasn't that bad in the mids

[Spruce Pirate]

The last four winters as I remember them locally:

 

13/14 - Wet - Very

12/13 - Windy - Very

11/12 -Non-descript

10/11 - Cold & Snowy - Very

 

Every one of them was predicted to be a "bad winter" beforehand.

[Daniel Jiggins]

I hope it does snow want to try my new snow plough.

[ballibeg]

It's an El Nino year and it's a late El Nino peaking dec/jan. Historical data shows when this happens temps 4c lower on average.

 

At least that's what the man I read said!

 

Dave

[Johny Walker]

it will be what it will be

[Logsnstuff]

4 very hard? Really? Where do live the arctic?

 

we had 2 might even have been 3yrs in last 5yrs where we saw -20 think the lowest on the farm thermometer was -22 & quite heavy snowfall 2010

[skyhuck]

Wasn't that bad in the mids

 

Here you go

 

So much for global warming! 4 of the last 5 winters have been COLDER than average, reveals Met Office | Mail Online

[Mortimer Firewood]

Winter or no winter all the firewood will go at the same price so it makes no diffrance to me a bit of snow on Christmas Eve to make it a bit more magical for my boy is all I ask for.

Every day I read in one paper it's going to be cold the next warm. Get up in the morning look out the window that's how I predict the weather thesa days.

[davetaz]

I once read a MET Office paper saying that they can be about 95% accurate for a 24hour forecast, 75% accurate for a further 24 hours and about 50-60% accurate for afurther 24 hours after that unless there are specific well known weather patterns in play etc.

So forecasting after 3 days is likely to be no more than 50% accurate ! Predicting 3-6 months in advance - forget it!