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big storm for Tuesday 956 mb - that's low


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As mentioned above: early friday's system has more potential for severity due to embedded tropical air which will converge with colder air and begin the rapid cyclogenesis we talk of where vorticity really tightens as the central air pressures drops sub 960, projections down to 930mb but GFS has form for over estimating? A lively week courtesy of the jet and a roaring atlantic and without mentioning the xmas period with eagerness then i most certainly would not wager for a "white one" other than given very generous odds over 10/1 for aberdeen, glasgow or edinburgh as the pattern is showing signs of a more SW/NE Jet tilt than currently experienced with less polar maritime air influence therefore milder but still zonal outlook?

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As mentioned above: early friday's system has more potential for severity due to embedded tropical air which will converge with colder air and begin the rapid cyclogenesis we talk of where vorticity really tightens as the central air pressures drops sub 960, projections down to 930mb but GFS has form for over estimating? A lively week courtesy of the jet and a roaring atlantic and without mentioning the xmas period with eagerness then i most certainly would not wager for a "white one" other than given very generous odds over 10/1 for aberdeen, glasgow or edinburgh as the pattern is showing signs of a more SW/NE Jet tilt than currently experienced with less polar maritime air influence therefore milder but still zonal outlook?

 

So will it be windy this week or not?:001_smile:

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