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Winter 2014/15, forecasts conditions alerts etc.


peckerwoo
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So many times in the last two years there has been talk of some nice cold easterly air but it has yet to materialise. Fingers crossed this one comes off :thumbup:

Azores ridge is a concern (has been a major factor encouraging the zonal pattern over the UK/W Europe etc for quite some time aside the brief colder spell for areas Boxing day etc) but clearly a worthy opportunity as another 2013/14 Winter record breaking wet season would not be repeated/matched?

NHemisphere 500 chart was playing around with a high latitude "heights" pattern quite some time ago so somethings afoot? but its all so very common for us to endure the "near miss" as it takes many a synoptic to fall into place for a pure Easterly unlike the Winters of old?

I`ll say its 50/50 as it stands but need a few more days modelling consistency although we are not an age away from Cold, unlike the last 2 weeks!

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Very interesting. Lets hope we get a blast for a week or two

Some Models are Now linking up the azores ridge elongated all the way North to Greenland! Some serious cold Becoming increasingly likely and with that not just a few day cold spell if retrogression enforces everything North of 40degrees blocked off to the NAD and with that any milder westerlies facing a hard road eastwards? All conjecture but certainly possibilities increasing!

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Some Models are Now linking up the azores ridge elongated all the way North to Greenland! Some serious cold Becoming increasingly likely and with that not just a few day cold spell if retrogression enforces everything North of 40degrees blocked off to the NAD and with that any milder westerlies facing a hard road eastwards? All conjecture but certainly possibilities increasing!

 

Blimey Pecker ! That got me thinking ! :001_smile:

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We are waiting for the snow in Sussex. BBC keep threatening us with it and kids are getting excited but as usual I think they are wrong. It's always good for a day but then if you can't work it becomes a bit of a pain. Perhaps one day off would be great !

Tree LC

Horsham tree surgeon

 

Agree the ideal snow is here for a day or two then nice sunny crisp days followed by another day of snow two weeks later. Followed by 6 months of summer at 26 degrees. But I have a feeling it's more likely to be rain followed by two weeks of 34 deg in October

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