Big J

The "Trump Effect" seems to be in full swing now across the western world - first Canada, now Australia. The candidate seen to most align with Trump is thoroughly rejected. I suppose that is a silver lining

Trump, elected in large part due to his perceived strength on the economy, has single-handedly caused a 0.3% contraction in the US economy, worth approximately $740,000,000,000 versus the expected 2.4% growth.

In the UK at the moment, so checked on (and took the tree guards off) my 2021 planted nitens. They really have rocketed up. The larger one is 9m, 12cm DBH and flourishing. The smaller one a couple of metres behind. My understanding is that from about year 4-5 they really start to shoot up, so I fully expect it to hit 20m before it's 10 years old. Nitens is quite apically dominant, so the central stem will just keep pushing up. They'll be bloody substantial by the time someone at the council notices them and wonders how they got there! 😄

I honestly don't think that it crosses his mind that he's shit at his job and loathed by half the population.

No, not at all really. The odd bit is, but on the whole no. It's just really heavy. You think it's still wet, but it's just dense.

The sawmill I am contracting into at the moment cuts/processes exclusively Scots Pine. About 57,000 cubic metres last year, apparently. They pressure treat almost everything they cut and rate it for 20 years durability in contact with the ground. The pressure treatment only permeates the sapwood, so the heartwood must be naturally really durable. It's maybe worth considering though that Swedish grown pine is considerably slower grown than UK sourced timber. It's even notable that pine grown locally to us (in the SE) is faster grown than the premium grade stuff that they buy in and process from the middle of Sweden (Dalarna). Either way, it is really surprisingly heavy and dense compared to any other softwood I've dealt with, and once planed, is quite beautiful too.

Haha! I'll take the same route again in the morning and see if he's there again.

I've actually seen fewer boar, but for some reason never counted them. I guess once you start counting, it just sticks in your head. They really are deeply impressive beasts - just enormous, and move in a perculiar way compared to other large mammals.

I'm not a massive fan. I tend to find it a bit dry. Also, there aren't that many moose really. The wild boar are a pest and dig everything up, and there are thousands of them. I prefer to see the moose alive in the forest than eat them. I've seen 35 moose in 33 months of living here.

Haha! I've butchered deer, rabbits and pheasant before, but I don't much enjoy the process. I have a hunter in the village from whom I buy beautiful cuts of boar in bulk for 50kr (£3.80) a kilo. It's not worth doing it yourself when it's that price!

A beautiful and chilly cycle to work this morning. A big, chunky wild boar was by the road, 7km in. Yesterday it was a moose, just a few metres from the road. It's like playing wildlife bingo. Sadly, they are next to impossible to photograph as by the time you get your phone out, they've slunk off back into the forest. You'll have to settle for a sunrise photo instead.

The only left of centre mainstream party in the UK at the moment are the Lib Dems. Labour are a touch right of centre, Reform are hard right and the Conservatives just try to morph to wherever they feel they might be able to pick up votes. Gareth, you cannot be seriously suggesting that you are centrist in your political outlook? I've got no idea where you live, or the community with which you interact. Perhaps in that context you are centrist, but in the political spectrum, you are one of the most unashamedly right wing people that I've interacted with here on Arbtalk; a forum that is right leaning anyway.

Being outspoken and outraged about the direction that Trump and his merry band of yes-men are dragging America in is entirely justified. I don't have time to list everything, but it is not hyperbolic to recognise that America is sliding (quite rapidly) into fascism. Trump et al are consolidating control over the legislature, the judiciary, the educational system, immigration, the security services and more. I would not be surprised if there were major obstacles to the 2026 mid terms actually happening and honestly, I'd be surprised if Trump gave up power in 2029.

Blue skies and sun after a light frost today. It's been incredibly sunny and rain-free for the last 10 weeks or so. 12mm precipitation and last month saw 180hrs of sunshine, which is pretty similar to an average UK summer month.

I raise the point simply because it's been raised many times before. Hopefully, this time you'll remember. If you get basic aspects of language wrong, it undermines the credibility that you seek to build. I know I'm being a patronising prick, but sometimes it's called for

It has been pointed out before and I hate to be a pedant, but please learn the difference between your and you're. You're is an abbreviation of you are. As in you'(a)re. So in a sentence: "You're an arborist" Your is a determiner, as in belonging to a person or people. In a sentence: "Your chainsaw is over there" In the text of yours that I've quoted, it's as if you're asking if Dave is claas. Not an unreasonable question, given the expertly chosen sawmill in the background, but you see my point. 😉

Do you have the same dealer as Trump? You smoking the same stuff as POTUS is the only explanation for that kind of willful ignorance. Tarriffs in all circumstances increase the cost of goods. Americans import more than they export because they like cheap stuff and have built their economy on the idea of acquiring more cheap stuff. If the government is applying an import tax on everything that comes in, it's not going to get cheaper. The US has one of the most overvalued currencies and highest cost of living in the world - they aren't going to be able to produce goods that can compete with imports. China for example - if the importer has a final cost of $100 for a toaster from China, over $30 of that is tax, going directly to the US Treasury, which Trump will give back directly to his cronies, in the form of massive tax cuts for the top 1%. It's really pretty simple. Trump loves two things. Attention (which he is getting lots of) and money, which he is squeezing every last drop of out of his presidential office.

What you're referring to as fjords would be in Böhuslän, and to say they are fjords is a bit like going to the Cotswolds and declaring them mountains. Regardless, your statement about the tarriffs not affecting me or my community was patently incorrect. And I believe that this policy of Trump's will very quickly collapse as every strata of American society turns on him as prices sky-rocket and the value of their pension pots collapses.

A lot of uneducated racism there. Sweden doesn't have fjords, for a start. Yes, it will affect me potentially. One of the two sawmills I work at exports 40% of it's production to North America (I'm not sure how much is Canada and how much is the USA, but I imagine it's at least an even split). So if 20% of the production of the mill is subject to 20% tarriffs, it will affect me and my coworkers.

It's not a quid pro quo at all. The figures that Trump is using are pure fantasy and seem to be loosely based on the trade deficit the US has with any given country. Take the EU. Trump claims that they charge 39% tarriffs. The EU Commission puts it at 1%, the WTO puts it at 4.8%. Andrew Kenningham, Chief Europe Economist at Capital Economics puts it at 3%.Any one of the three figures is wildly different to 39%. https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/04/03/fact-check-are-donald-trumps-tariffs-on-the-eu-really-reciprocal

Lovely weather here at the moment. Decent frosts and warm sunny days. -3°c on th way to work this morning, and 18c on the way back yesterday.

Another point worth considering is that with the withdrawal of international aid and development, that the US loses what can reasonably be considered it's most valuable asset - soft power. Until Trump 2.0, the generally esteemed international position that the US held was largely as a result of the development programmes that it supported in the world's poorest communities. Much like the Chinese, the US sought to influence the development of economically emergent nations by way of USAID, and other agencies. It wasn't just a one-way flow of cash with nothing in return - it was mutually beneficial, even if it wasn't immediately apparent. On that note, international development aid is also one of the most effective ways of keeping people in developing countries in their own countries. If you withdraw the support that they were dependent on, they are much more likely to become desperate and try to emigrate to a more economically developed country. So, Trump's anti immigration agenda would actually be served very well by supporting those prospective immigrants to stay put. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - As a completely unrelated point, I was just thinking that the most amusing outcome of the Greenland issue would be if the Greenlanders decided that yes, they wanted to secede from Denmark but that they would like to hitch their wagon to Canada. I cannot think of a more effective F**k You to the US than that, and actually might make sense too as Canada is a fellow arctic nation and unlike the US administration, the Canucks aren't a bunch of self-serving, self-important, egotistical c**ts.