Likelihood of Failure Experiment 2

[Bundle 2]

Care to share with the class???

 

Not much......I just bin slapped with a parking fine and a speeding ticket...total £95-00 and 3 points...just off to the nick to pay my dues...!!!

[Amelanchier]

Bump again!

[Dean Lofthouse]

Here's a good one I am keeping an eye on in my wood. There were two but one has already failed after only 6 months.

 

This one is directly over my access road which is the main entrance to the busy scout camp

[John Shutler]

old ash coppice at sparsholt college

[Stephen Blair]

hey dean, is that on an oak?love the ash john

[Dean Lofthouse]

hey dean, is that on an oak?love the ash john

 

I've seen quite a few in the past in the wood and all have been on oak

[Stephen Blair]

I've seen quite a few in the past in the wood and all have been on oak

 

is it because oak is stronger/stringier grain that it keeps holding, rather than just snapping like sycamore or ash, i did a willow the other day that had went the same way.

[RPA]

For what its worth imo 2 - 5

 

Change with changes in emvironment (abmormal wind direction, surrounding cover, protection, etc increse/no changes or abnormal conditions decrease)

 

How long is a piece of string (appart from exactly twice as long as half its length)

[Log-ologist]

I reckon on few of the 100 lasting 5 years so at 20 per year all 100 would be gone after 5 years.

 

1st year 20% failiure rate from total population.

 

2nd year 25% (80 remain so 20 from 80=25%)

3rd year 33%

4th year 50%

5th year 100%

 

as time increases so does the probability that a greater proportion will fail.