`tis soon the season of mud n muck!

[peckerwoo]

Well not quite just yet as we are in for a generally settled pattern of weather for the short term at least?

But has anyone got an opinion, view or plain moan at the eventual onset of seemingly endless Atlantic driven wind & rain?

A "blocked" pattern continues to be the general favor with very high anomalous daytime temps for the southern UK likely next mid week?

Whats concerning me is that the longer the quiet spell goes on, (rainfall appears below normal for the last few months?) then eventual roaring jet stream will possibly bring flooding to Western exposed areas?

Also the gradients of sea surface temperatures where low pressures develop off the eastern seaboard (USA) are becoming ripe for intense cyclonic formation now ocean heat content (& ACE values) has been boosted in the N Atlantic following recent heightened hurricane activity, (the larger the gradients between cold polar cell air & warm ferrell cell air are leads to higher chances of more intense low pressure systems tracking east across the Atlantic for the UK)

I still try to look at pre-cursors to what caused that epic cold weather period 6 years ago in mid-late November 2010! could that be a valid alternative to a mild mushy run up to crimbo this year?

[skyhuck]

I just hope it's not as bad as last year, this time last year it started raining and did not stop until April. I've worked outside for 25 years and cannot remember such a long wet winter, very mild and very wet.

 

I would much prefer months of -10.